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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans

Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

While Sam Darnold has been responsible for 1.6% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Minnesota's running game in this game at 13.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 37.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In registering a feeble 1.1 carries per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold slots in among the bottom quarterbacks in the league (10th percentile) when talking about rushing utilization.

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