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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the projections to garner the 7th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 4.0.

After comprising 0.0% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Sam Darnold has had a larger role in the ground game this season, currently sitting at 12.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-least run-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 36.7% run rate.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 55.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's DT corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

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