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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his offense's running game this year (12.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 6th-least run-heavy team in the league (37.5% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 56.1 per game on average).
  • The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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