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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his team's ground game this season (10.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-least run-heavy team in the league (37.7% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).
  • The Titans defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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