Ryan Tannehill TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

TD Passes

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+172/-225).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 52.2% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 30.5 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.

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