Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 210.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 209.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ryan Tannehill's passing effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 8.17 yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.17 rate last year.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 6th-most yards in the league (276.0 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.77 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in football.
The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

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