Ryan Tannehill Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Interceptions

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:49 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+106/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +141 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 27.34 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.