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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ryan Tannehill Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box against opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 33.9 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.

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