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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a stellar ratio of 1.71 per game (78th percentile), Russell Wilson rates among the leading touchdown passers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Right now, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (51.7% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Our trusted projections expect Russell Wilson to attempt 31.9 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in football against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (66.5% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered a feeble 1.08 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best rate in the league.

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