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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

With a remarkable 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Russell Wilson stands as one of the most accurate passers in football.

Russell Wilson has been among the best TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 1.67 per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (51.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

In this game, Russell Wilson is forecasted by the projections to have the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.9.

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