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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.

With a remarkable ratio of 1.40 per game (80th percentile), Russell Wilson ranks among the leading TD passers in the league this year.

The Bengals safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 51.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 51.4% red zone pass rate.

The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 30.7 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.

The Steelers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

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