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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-240/+190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).

With a fantastic ratio of 1.50 per game (83rd percentile), Russell Wilson has been among the leading touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 44.1% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 51.8% red zone pass rate.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to throw 27.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

More Russell Wilson Player Props

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