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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+215/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -270.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.

Russell Wilson's 65.8% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable improvement in his throwing precision over last season's 59.3% mark.

With a remarkable ratio of 1.86 per game (89th percentile), Russell Wilson ranks as one of the best touchdown throwers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Russell Wilson to attempt 33.0 passes this week, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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