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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

After accounting for 17.3% of his offense's carries last year, Russell Wilson has been called on less the run game this year, currently sitting at only 8.1%.

Russell Wilson has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).

Russell Wilson's 3.25 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a material drop-off in his rushing skills over last year's 5.11 figure.

This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens run defense has yielded a feeble 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the best in football.

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