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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 4th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.

This year, the porous Bengals run defense has been torched for a colossal 134.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Russell Wilson has been a less important option in his team's running game this season (6.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (17.3%).

Russell Wilson has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).

Russell Wilson's ground efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 2.72 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.11 rate last year.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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