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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The projections expect the Steelers as the most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After comprising 17.3% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Russell Wilson has been less involved in the run game this year, currently making up only 5.6%.

Russell Wilson's 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a material decrease in his rushing prowess over last season's 22.0 mark.

Russell Wilson's rushing efficiency has declined this year, averaging a mere 2.43 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.11 rate last year.

Russell Wilson rates as one of the bottom QBs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a measly 0.72 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 13th percentile.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's LB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in football.

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