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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 224.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

Russell Wilson has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (245.0) this year than he did last year (208.0).

Russell Wilson's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this season, compiling 8.33 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 6.98 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Russell Wilson to attempt 32.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.

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