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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 236.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.

Russell Wilson's 8.52 adjusted yards-per-target this year illustrates a noteworthy improvement in his passing effectiveness over last year's 7.0% figure.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (323.0 per game) versus the Ravens defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 30.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.

The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Russell Wilson's passing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 66.1% to 59.9%.

When it comes to safeties pass-rushing, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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