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Russell Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Russell Wilson
QB · Denver Broncos
Passing Yards
Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:35 PM UTC
NFL Props Russell Wilson Passing Yards

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 235.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 231.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Russell Wilson has been among the best per-play passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.48 yards-per-target while grading out in the 76th percentile.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season (71.5%).
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line has allowed their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to attempt 30.8 passes in this game, on average: the least of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • Russell Wilson's throwing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.2% to 57.9%.
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