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Russell Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Russell Wilson
QB · Denver Broncos
Passing Yards
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 14, 2022 Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Russell Wilson Passing Yards

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-106/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 222.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 222.5 @ -126.

Favors Over
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
Favors Under
  • Russell Wilson's passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 58.7%.
  • Russell Wilson has been among the least efficient quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging just 6.62 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 21st percentile.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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