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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 44.1% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to throw 27.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.

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