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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
  • In registering a whopping 0.51 interceptions per game this year, Russell Wilson slots in among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (6th percentile).
  • Cleveland's defense profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year when it comes to generating interceptions, notching a measly 0.09 per game.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 44.1% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to throw 27.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.

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