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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+114/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.45 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking as the worst defense in football by this standard

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 58.4 plays per game.

Russell Wilson has thrown a lowly 0.44 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile among QBs.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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