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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The San Francisco 49ers have intercepted 0.64 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-worst defense in the NFL by this metric

The Denver Broncos offensive line has allowed their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to attempt 30.8 passes in this game, on average: the least of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.

Russell Wilson has totaled a measly 0.47 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile among QBs.

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