Russell Wilson Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Interceptions

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.35 targets per game this year, ranking as the 5th-worst defense in the league by this metric
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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