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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.35 targets per game this year, ranking as the 5th-worst defense in the league by this metric
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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