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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line has given their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Russell Wilson has averaged a mere 0.45 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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