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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Russell Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 30.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.

The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Russell Wilson's passing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 66.1% to 59.9%.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in football against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (69.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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