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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 66.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's unit has been terrible last year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Russell Wilson is expected by the projections to have the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.3.

The Steelers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Last year, the stout Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered a feeble 66.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-lowest rate in the league.

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