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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Steelers as the 8th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 30th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Russell Wilson has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this year (6.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (17.3%).

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