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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Steelers as the most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After comprising 17.3% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Russell Wilson has been less involved in the run game this year, currently making up only 5.6%.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's LB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in football.

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