Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-148).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
The model projects the Broncos to be the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 47.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to accrue 5.4 carries in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.
Russell Wilson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 15.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among quarterbacks.
The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
Favors Under
The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).