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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-148).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
  • The model projects the Broncos to be the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 47.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to accrue 5.4 carries in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.
  • Russell Wilson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 15.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among quarterbacks.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).

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