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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Russell Gage Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+292/-511).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +303 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +292.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.8 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.

Russell Gage has compiled a monstrous 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among WRs.

Russell Gage's 53.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 83rd percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects Russell Gage to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game near the end zone this week (13.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (21.5% in games he has played).

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (57.6%).

The Dallas Cowboys safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.

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