Roschon Johnson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+217/-263).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -263.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 67.2 per game on average).
Roschon Johnson has accrued a monstrous 7.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Roschon Johnson's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 77th percentile for RBs.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 5th-most run-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
Roschon Johnson does not have any receiving TDs this year.
This year, the daunting New England Patriots defense has surrendered a mere 0.00 passing TDs per game to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in football.

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