Roschon Johnson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 28, 2026 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3348/-3471).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears will be forced to start backup QB Case Keenum in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 61.1 per game on average).
Among all RBs since the start of last season, Roschon Johnson grades out in just the 0th percentile for red zone carries, making up 0.0% of the usage in his offense's ground game near the end zone.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.3% pass rate.
With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Roschon Johnson has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a feeble 64.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the best rate in football.
Since the start of last season, the poor Philadelphia Eagles run defense has yielded a monstrous 1.21 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the largest rate in football.

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