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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

Roschon Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

Roschon Johnson has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 10.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been lousy this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.9%) versus RBs since the start of last season (77.9%).

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