Roschon Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
This week, Roschon Johnson is anticipated by the model to land in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.
With an exceptional 9.0% Target Share (75th percentile) this year, Roschon Johnson has been among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.

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