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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run 66.2 total plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
  • Roschon Johnson has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 10.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been lousy this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to air yards, Roschon Johnson ranks in the lowly 14th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, averaging just -2.0 per game.

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