Roschon Johnson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 12:52 PM EST

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+140/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.8% run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.5 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.
The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 68.5 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Roschon Johnson to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (21.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.1% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to start backup QB Tyson Bagent.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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