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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Carries
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Roschon Johnson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the most run-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 46.9% run rate.
  • While Roschon Johnson has earned 21.6% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Chicago's running game in this contest at 37.7%.
  • The Chicago O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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