Rondale Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-129/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
A passing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (55.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
Rondale Moore's 19.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 46.6.

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