Rondale Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Rondale Moore has been among the top WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
THE BLITZ projects Rondale Moore to be much less involved in his offense's passing game this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (21.7% in games he has played).

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