Rondale Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 20, 2022 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+142/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Rondale Moore has been less involved as a potential target this year (94.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (48.8%).
THE BLITZ projects Rondale Moore to earn 7.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Rondale Moore's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 83.5% to 71.1%.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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