Rondale Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:00 PM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+146/-192).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -192.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.
Rondale Moore has been among the best possession receivers in football, completing a terrific 83.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile among WRs.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.9%).
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated play action on 30.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Carolina Panthers defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the fastest in the league since the start of last season.