Rondale Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With an excellent 6.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Rondale Moore ranks among the leading wide receivers in the game in the league in picking up extra yardage.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been very bad this year, projecting as the worst in football.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Cincinnati Bengals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.
Rondale Moore has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).