Rondale Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this week's contest, Rondale Moore is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 78th percentile among wideouts with 7.0 targets.
The projections expect Rondale Moore to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this game (20.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.0% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The model projects the Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
Rondale Moore has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (41.0 per game).
The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Rondale Moore has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (52.0).

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