Rondale Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving TD

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-335).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Rondale Moore has compiled significantly more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (6.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Rondale Moore to be a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (18.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (26.7% in games he has played).
Rondale Moore's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 83.5% to 69.8%.
Rondale Moore ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 7th-least touchdowns through the air in football to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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