Rondale Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving TD

Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 8, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+289/-502).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -501 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -502.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Rondale Moore has been among the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in a terrific 83.4% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.
Rondale Moore has totaled a meager 6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 7th percentile among wide receivers.
The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.