Rome Odunze Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-200).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by our trusted projection set to call 66.6 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 67.2 per game on average).
This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has conceded a massive 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.
This year, the poor New England Patriots defense has surrendered a massive 1.00 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.
Favors Under
The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 5th-most run-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New England's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.