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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to accumulate 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
  • Robert Woods has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 20.8% this year, which places him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
  • Robert Woods's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 66.1% to 71.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Robert Woods's receiving talent has diminished this season, averaging just 3.1 yards per game compared to 4.9 last season.

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