Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to accumulate 7.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
Robert Woods has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.7% this year, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
Robert Woods's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 66.1% to 69.1%.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.